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Geopolitical··Severity 6

India’s Wartime Buying Spree Leaves Behind a Cooking Gas Surplus

India’s frenzied efforts to counter disruptions in cooking gas supplies over the past months, while cargoes remained trapped in the Persian Gulf, has left state-run fuel retailers with the opposite problem — more than they can sell.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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