Military··Severity 9
As Iran buries Khamenei, it shifts from 'a theocracy to a nationalistic military leadership'
Khamenei's marathon funeral is coming to an end as the coffin arrives in Mashhad, following a week of mass processions across Iran resonating with revenge slogans against Trump. It comes as strikes between of US and Iran have started up again. The funeral is also being used as a way to project to the world a regime that has managed to withstand the war. FRANCE 24's Angela Diffley tells us more.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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