Geopolitical··Severity 8
U.S., Iran Return to the Brink of All-Out War
As both sides intensify strikes, future peace talks appear uncertain.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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