Geopolitical··Severity 6
Europe speculates about Russia's alleged defeat to justify militarization — diplomat
The notion that Russia, suffering defeat, might suddenly strike NATO territory tomorrow is utterly illogical, Anna Yevstigneyeva emphasized
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Checking access status…