Military··Severity 9
Iran launches retaliatory strikes on Gulf states as Trump warns US bombing could get 'much worse'
Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they had struck US military bases in Bahrain and Kuwait in response to fresh American strikes. They also warned their responses would expand to other bases across the region if US attacks were repeated.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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