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Social··Severity 6

Indonesia Gets First Russian Oil Shipment After Deal with Moscow

Indonesia imported Russian crude oil for the first time since a deal struck between the two nations in April, a sign of how Moscow has taken advantage of the Iran conflict to grow its customers.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

28%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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