Social··Severity 6
Iran increases Strait of Hormuz capacity to 50% of pre-war level — IRGC
The naval forces also noted that US interference "in determining movement routes" is "seriously disrupting the process of gradually resuming operations" of the strait
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
30%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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