Economic··Severity 7
France Seen Dodging Recession as Central Bank Lifts GDP Estimate
The Bank of France raised its short-term growth estimate as activity improved in all sectors in June, indicating the economy will safely avoid a recession.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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