Economic··Severity 5
Newly released footage shows revolver gifted by Erdogan to NATO leaders
Images shared by the Lithuanian Presidency show a revolver given by Turkey's Erdogan to every NATO leader as a parting gift after the summit in Ankara. Each leader received a box containing a revolver engraved with their name, six bullets and a note exempting the weapons from export control.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
19%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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