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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Strait of Hormuz to open only on Iran’s terms, but under US’ threats — parliament speaker

According to Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, threats and breaking promises "are no longer cost-free"

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

34%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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