Geopolitical··Severity 6
Strait of Hormuz to open only on Iran’s terms, but under US’ threats — parliament speaker
According to Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, threats and breaking promises "are no longer cost-free"
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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