Geopolitical··Severity 8
Traffic through Strait of Hormuz falls steeply after new US-Iran strikes
Data shows a decline in the number of ships - many carrying oil and gas - going through the waterway after attacks this week.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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