Geopolitical··Severity 6
Israel ready to resume campaign against Iran — defense minister
The United States and Israel started a war with Iran on February 28
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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