Geopolitical··Severity 6
Without Patriarch Kirill: EU's 21st Russia sanctions package may be approved on 13 July
The European Union's 21st Russia sanctions package could be approved on Monday 13 July, during a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brussels.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
46%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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