Geopolitical··Severity 8
Germany strikes deal to buy US Tomahawk missiles, Merz says
Chancellor Friedrich Merz says he reached agreement with Washington during Nato summit in Ankara
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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