Social··Severity 6
The Iran global inflation crisis that stubbornly refuses to happen
Neither the war in the Gulf nor the Covid-Ukraine price spike has taken us back to the stagflationary 1970s
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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