Geopolitical··Severity 8
New wave of US strikes, Iran's response: situation in Middle East
US President Donald Trump called the new wave of strikes on Iran retaliation for alleged attacks on vessels
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
65%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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