Geopolitical··Severity 8
Oil rises after US launches fresh strikes against Iran
Oil prices increased on Thursday following new U.S. strikes against Iran. These actions have diminished hopes for peace and the Strait of Hormuz reopening. Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude futures saw notable gains in early trading. Shipowners are expected to adopt a more cautious approach to voyages through the strait. Insurance providers are reviewing policy terms after recent vessel attacks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Economic Times
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