← Scenarios catalogue
Social··Severity 7

China unlikely to secure leadership in Arctic without Russia — expert

China has no territory above the Arctic Circle, Irina Strelnikova, director of the Center for Interdisciplinary Arctic Research at HSE University, said

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

39%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Checking access status…