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Social··Severity 6

Polish president calls on parliament to ban red-and-black Ukrainian Insurgent Army flag in Poland

On the Day of Remembrance for victims of the Volyn tragedy, Polish President Karol Nawrocki has called for a legislative ban in Poland on the red-and-black flag of the Ukrainian Insurgent Army. [The Volyn (Volhynia) tragedy was a series of events that led to the ethnic cleansing of the Polish and Ukrainian populations in 1943 during World War II. It was part of a long-standing rivalry between Ukrainians and Poles in what is now Ukraine's west. Poland considers the Volyn tragedy a genocide of Poles – ed.]

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

32%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

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