Geopolitical··Severity 6
Polish PM pledges memorial to victims of WW2 'genocide by Ukrainian nationalists'
Warsaw and Kyiv have for decades been at loggerheads over the killings of many thousands of civilians during World War Two.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Checking access status…