Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iran supreme leader calls for revenge after father's burial
Mojtaba Khamenei says vengeance is "inevitable" for the killing, which happened on the first day of the US-Israeli war on Iran.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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