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Economic··Severity 7

Oil prices jump as US and Iran step up tit-for-tat strikes

Traders fear escalating hostilities could further restrict the flow of crude through the Strait of Hormuz

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

47%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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