← Scenarios catalogue
Economic··Severity 7

Oil Market Prices In Hormuz Resilience

Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodities strategist Mike McGlone says oil markets are largely accepting US assurances that the Strait of Hormuz remains open, with expanding Western Hemisphere supply and alternative export routes limiting the long-term impact of Gulf disruptions on crude prices. He says gasoline and diesel prices remain elevated because refining margins have widened, but expects crude oil prices to trend lower over time as global supply grows and demand softens. (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence: Oil Market Prices In Hormuz Resilience

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Checking access status…