Military··Severity 9
Live: US launches new strikes as Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz
The US military launched fresh strikes on Iran after it set a container ship ablaze on Sunday, while Tehran responded by closing the Strait of Hormuz and escalating attacks on US facilities in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Read our blog to follow the events as they unfold.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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