Geopolitical··Severity 8
US Says It Began Launching More Strikes Against Iran at 5pm ET
US Central Command forces began launching more strikes against Iran at 5 p.m. ET today, to continue degrading their ability to attack civilian mariners and commercial ships freely transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to a post on X.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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