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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Iran war live: IRGC declares Strait of Hormuz closed over US interference

Move comes as Israel continues attacks on Gaza and Lebanon, killing and wounding several civilians.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

68%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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