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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Vance may face blame over violation of US-Iran memorandum — Politico

Мiolating the memorandum's provisions was inevitable, since it failed to address key issues — the terms of a ceasefire in Lebanon and control of the Strait of Hormuz, the publication says, citing a former White House official

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

36%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence

Primary source: TASS English

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