Geopolitical··Severity 6
Vance may face blame over violation of US-Iran memorandum — Politico
Мiolating the memorandum's provisions was inevitable, since it failed to address key issues — the terms of a ceasefire in Lebanon and control of the Strait of Hormuz, the publication says, citing a former White House official
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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36%Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Primary source: TASS English
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