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Military··Severity 9

US launches new wave of strikes against Iran, aimed at ‘degrading’ military

Sunday's attacks follow three previous days of tit-for-tat strikes between Iran and US as a June ceasefire deal frays.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

76%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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