Geopolitical··Severity 8
US launches more strikes on Iran as Strait of Hormuz standoff deepens
The US has launched a new wave of strikes on Iran targeting Tehran's ability to threaten shipping in the strait.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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