Geopolitical··Severity 6
共軍殲 - 15T重載彈射首曝光 掛載4枚反艦飛彈威脅台灣東部防衛
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: def.ltn.com.tw
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