Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ông Trump đề xuất thu phí 20 % hàng hóa qua eo biển Hormuz , tái áp đặt phong tỏa Iran
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
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