Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran Sneaking Out Tankers Via Hormuz as Trump Amps Up Threats
Iran has been sneaking oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz over the past few days, even before the US said it would reimpose a blockade of Iranian ports as hostilities escalated.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
Checking access status…