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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Oil hits $85 as battle for Strait of Hormuz alarms energy markets

Brent crude reaches levels last seen before the US and Iran agreed to extend their ceasefire

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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