Geopolitical··Severity 8
Record El Niño threatens to unleash floods across East Africa and Asia
Aid groups warn a record-strength El Niño could unleash flooding and hunger from Somalia to Pakistan.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
57%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Checking access status…