← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 6

EU ambassadors to consider extension of temporary protection for Ukrainians on 15 July

The EU Committee of Permanent Representatives (Coreper) is considering the extension of the Temporary Protection Directive for Ukrainians seeking refuge from the war in the European Union for another year – until 4 March 2028.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

Checking access status…