Geopolitical··Severity 8
How US-Iran escalation will test Iraq’s balancing act
The Iraqi PM visited the White House to deepen economic ties, as Iraq-based allies of Iran threatened to fight the US.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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