Geopolitical··Severity 6
Trump’s Boat Strikes Are Crimes Against Humanity
Rodrigo Duterte’s prosecution at the International Criminal Court shows why U.S. officials should be worried.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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