Geopolitical··Severity 6
Consensus on chancellor shifts — but I still wouldn’t bet on it
Nothing is certain as lobbying war rages on, but Westminster view is growing that Ed Miliband will be passed over
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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