← Scenarios catalogue
Social··Severity 6

EU readies crisis team for China rare earths stand-off

Crisis team will prepare for possible trade conflict when truce expires in October

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

26%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Checking access status…