Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukraine’s Drones Have Turned the Tide, but Can They Change the Map?
Mid-range drone strikes may not be enough to regain Ukrainian territory.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Scenarios
Primary source: Foreign Policy
Checking access status…