Military··Severity 6
How rivalry with a top general brought down Ukraine’s popular defence minister Fedorov
The forced resignation of 35-year-old Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov in a sweeping government reshuffle has exposed competing visions within the country’s civil and military leadership on how best to hold back the Russian advance.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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49%Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Primary source: France24
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