Geopolitical··Severity 6
Hundreds protest in Kyiv over Zelenskyy’s dismissal of defence minister
Mykhailo Fedorov has been credited with reforming defence procurement and tackling corruption.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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