Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: US carries out strikes on civilian infrastructure in south
Officials report power outages, train station hit in Bandar Abbas, as Iran says Hormuz won't return to prewar status.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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