Geopolitical··Severity 8
Tehran vows to 'crush' regional infrastructure if US hits Iranian sites
Iran said its response to any US strike on its infrastructure would result in destruction across the region, as multiple reports said Tehran had asked the Houthis to be ready to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, threatening a second global shipping chokepoint.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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