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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Venezuela: IOM warns of potential El Niño threat to families displaced by earthquake

Thousands of people remain displaced three weeks after the devastating earthquakes in Venezuela and the possible formation of a strong El Niño climate pattern could worsen their already dire situation, the International Organization for Migration (IOM) warned on Thursday.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

57%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: UN News

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