Geopolitical··Severity 6
Russia's budget deficit to exceed forecasts by almost US$13 billion – Reuters
Russia’s budget deficit is set to increase by RUB 1 trillion compared to official forecasts, driven by rising war-related spending in Ukraine.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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