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China’s consumption has a new, fast-growing driver: local tourists

In the first half of this year, leisure travel within China exploded. As the summer travel season builds towards the Mid-Autumn Festival and the “golden week” that follows National Day on October 1, domestic travel has emerged as one of China’s most important, if underappreciated, drivers of consumption and growth. During the extended Chinese New Year holiday, travel and consumer spending boomed. Domestic trips jumped to 596 million and spending surpassed 803 billion yuan (US$118.13 billion),...

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Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

32%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: South China Morning Post

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