Geopolitical··Severity 6
Kyiv protesters rally after Zelenskyy sacks defence minister Fedorov
Hundreds protest in Kyiv after President Zelenskyy dismisses Defence Minister Fedorov, a moderniser credited with slowing Russia’s advance.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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