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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Middle East Bond Spreads Hit 2022 High as Ceasefire Breaks Down

Bond investors are demanding the most compensation since October 2022 to fund Middle Eastern governments as fighting flares again between the US and Iran.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

34%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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