Geopolitical··Severity 6
IRGC strikes US Al-Azraq Air Base in Jordan — Mehr agency
According to data obtained by the news agency, the IRGC hit communications systems and fuel storage facilities of the US Armed Forces
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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